Tuesday, March 13, 2012

The Swale Stakes Grade III



Last week I did okay in the Paceadvantage.com Contest's, where the week before I did not do so well.
It seems I should have done way better if I could have just listened to my own handicapping breakdown of the 2 races I did on paceandcap.com here is a link..
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8225 and the other race also..
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8220 read them and let me know.

It seemed that my selection of pacelines were good enough, and then I went back to the days of handicapping before computers, and looked individually at each horse, and with 3 yr olds you must look for improvements, bounce's and intentions, not always that clear to see, but when they are they normally pay off to those looking for it.

Here is a snippet from the Swale Stakes at Gulfstream
I Like the 7 horse and agree maybe Jim is giving you a heads up, but within the RDSS I do not get the 7 , thou it is hard to leave him out of the mix, he did nothing wrong and getting better each time out.
I keep coming back to 5/2/7 as yet 2 and 7 both do not make it into the final cut in RDSS, so do I bet the program which last year did me well.
The program is giving me 6/9/5/10 as top contenders to focus on.
The 2 is a perfect bounced horse, last race was the bounce, and hopefully back n stride now, tough to throw out if true.
Both 7 and 10 are 2nd time out winners and improving , question how much improvement this time, both are quality horses, so how to distuingish the top 3 horse's for one contest and the winner for another.

2 comments:

  1. Oh gee wiz, Conrad Crease wrote me again about Hidden Horse, here I will share part of what he said about the Swale. I love it when he is right but I have also lost my share with his stuff. I have to know what software for what race.
    Gulfstream Swale

    The 5 had the 3rd best start and 3rd best mid pace and was coming off
    a trouble race that the system noted.

    The 2 threw a 22.6 qtr and a flat 45 half at the field then drew off to win by 6 lengths
    (Can Trinniberg get the Derby distance?)

    Race comes 2, 5, 7, 3
    Winner pays $17.20, 9.60, 6.40
    $2 exacta $449.50
    $2 trifecta $1,293.20
    $2 super $24,299.00

    This is a great example of the FHH system at its best.

    ReplyDelete
  2. PK you must be a wealthy man pickin horses like you do. I bet you got a big house and fancy cars and a wardrobe to boot and some fast womens. You a lucky man. Ned Johnson Savannah GA

    ReplyDelete

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